Russia could be on the brink of invading Ukraine. Here's what might happen next
Canada has played a small role in the growing tension between the two nations

As the Russian military continues to squeeze Ukraine from three directions, Canada and its NATO allies are trying to de-escalate an increasingly volatile situation.
Here's what you need to know about the potential for conflict in Ukraine and how it might play out.
What's happening on the ground?
Russia has massed around 100,000 troops along its borders with Ukraine, suggesting that the Kremlin could be preparing to launch a full-scale invasion sometime this winter.
According to Ukrainian intelligence, Russia has soldiers, tanks, artillery and armoured vehicles in positions on Ukraine's northern, eastern and southern borders.
Russian forces to the east of Ukraine are gathering near the Donbas region, a predominantly Russian-speaking part of Ukraine where Moscow-backed separatists have been fighting the Ukrainian military since 2014.
The Kremlin has defended its actions, saying that it has the right to move its military around its own territory. But the unusual movement of large numbers of troops and weapons suggests Russia is planning an invasion — or is trying to convince Ukraine and its allies that an invasion is imminent.
Russia has said it will take what it calls "military-technical" measures to protect its security. What that means exactly isn't clear — and Moscow may want it that way.
What does Russia want?
Russia says it wants to stop NATO from expanding into Ukraine. But that's not all it's demanding.
The Kremlin has called for a guarantee that NATO won't expand eastward into areas that Russia considers part of its sphere of influence.
Russian President Vladimir Putin also has called on the U.S. to remove its nuclear weapons from Europe and for Western allied countries to stop rotating their troops through several nations in Eastern Europe.
Putin has accused the West of taking an "aggressive" course "on the threshold of our home."
Giving in to those demands would effectively restore a Cold War-era division of power in Europe, with Russia expanding its sphere of influence further west.
NATO officials, who represent 30 nations in Europe and North America, have flatly rejected Putin's demands.
Russia now appears to be threatening military action as a way to break that stalemate.

What does Ukraine want?
Ukraine, which has unique political and cultural ties to both the West and Russia, has had a long and complex relationship with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who took office in 2019, has tried to strengthen his country's ties to the West. He has lobbied aggressively for NATO to expedite Ukraine's request for membership. Some previous Ukrainian governments pursued closer ties with Russia.
By joining NATO, Ukraine could obtain a much greater degree of security. Each of NATO's 30 members would be obliged to defend Ukraine if it were attacked.
What happens if Russia invades?
The outcome of an invasion would depend on the size of Russia's invading force and its tactics.
Constanze Stelzenmüller, a security policy expert at the Brookings Institute, said Ukraine's military has improved greatly since Russia annexed Crimea in 2014.
"The Ukrainian armed forces could give Russia a very, very hard time," Stelzenmüller told CBC News.
WATCH: Ukrainian navy prepares for Russian invasion