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A campaign without Biden? Republicans offer a glimpse of how that might look

Here's a sneak peak into a campaign that still doesn't exist: A glimpse at a U.S. presidential election without Joe Biden. At the Republican National Convention, they're already previewing the hard hits they intend to toss Vice-President Kamala Harris's way if she replaces Biden atop the Democratic ticket.

Opponents preview attacks on Vice-President Kamala Harris should she become the Democratic nominee

A person in a red shirt cheers and waves red and white pom poms at the top of a full arena.
At their convention this week in Milwaukee, Republicans are pivoting to the real possibility that U.S. President Joe Biden won't be their opponent in November's presidential election. (Nam Y. Huh/The Associated Press)

Here's a sneak peek into a campaign that still doesn't exist. A glimpse at a U.S. presidential election without Joe Biden. There are early signs of it in Milwaukee.

At their national convention, Republicans are already testing new lines of attack against the likeliest replacement if Biden drops out: Vice-President Kamala Harris. 

The party is performing a half-pivot in the midst of its convention, which is unfolding amid a fog of uncertainty as Biden's allies ramp up pressure to push him out.

Republicans are previewing the hard hits they intend to toss Harris's way if she replaces Biden atop the Democratic ticket, with a top Trump official publicly testing some messages.

Republicans test 'coup' message

Message No. 1: that forcing out the nominee after the primaries is an anti-democratic act, and Republicans made clear they'll throw it back at Democrats whenever they mention Jan. 6 and Trump's threat to democracy.

"It's literally a coup," said Donald Trump's co-campaign manager Chris LaCivita, speaking Thursday at the convention, at a panel hosted by news outlets Politico and CNN. 

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"This is nothing more than an attempted coup by the Democratic Party," he said. "They're going to disenfranchise millions of people who [voted in primaries for Biden]."

Message No. 2: that Harris owns every failure of the Biden administration, especially the porous border, which was supposedly her file. "The border czar," LaCivita said, mockingly. "Last time I checked it's Biden-Harris." 

Message No. 3: that Harris lied to the American public by insisting Biden was mentally up to the job, before replacing him. "Gaslighter-in-chief," LaCivita said, promising attack ads on Harris vouching for Biden: "Do you know how much tape we have on this?"

The campaign boss all but admitted Trump's team has started spending resources on a changed campaign. When asked whether he's begun doing polls on Trump versus Harris, he replied: "What the hell do you think?"

Harris walks from green and white helicopter on tarmac
U.S. Vice-President Kamala Harris walks toward Air Force Two on her way to a campaign stop in North Carolina on Thursday. Republicans have begun eyeing Harris as the potential Democratic nominee if Biden steps down. (Kevin Mohatt/Reuters)

The Harris factor has been palpable all week in Milwaukee where her name has come up dozens of times in speeches. This is sure to escalate now, with reports that the biggest names in the Democratic Party are pressing for a change atop the ticket.

This includes Senate leader Chuck Schumer personally driving to Biden's home in Delaware to reportedly ask him to leave; a reportedly similar message conveyed to Biden by House leader Hakeem Jeffries, a public call for Biden to step aside by Congressman Adam Schiff, a top ally of Nancy Pelosi, and the deepest cut of all for Biden: Barack Obama reportedly telling allies his former vice-president should reassess his run. 

Notably, none of these party figures are denying those reports.

A bald man in a suit and tie smiles as he stands against a red background featuring a sign reading 'Politico.'
Trump campaign co-manager Chris LaCivita revealed three lines of attack Republicans will deploy against Harris if she becomes the nominee. (Alex Panetta/CBC)

New candidate would give Dems 'energy'

One prominent Republican is warning his party to prepare for a tougher race. New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu said the pressure for Biden to leave will only escalate after the Republican convention ends Thursday.

"It's real, it's happening," Sununu said at the same Politico/CNN event, although he appeared via video.

He predicted that replacing Biden would not simply energize the Democratic Party; he said it would also win back some swing voters who dislike the elderly candidates currently on offer, Trump and Biden.

"That is a very different race than running against Biden," Sununu said.

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"Believe me: if and when they make the switch, everything's going to change. It's going to get very close in a lot of those tighter states. There's going to be more energy. The Democrat Party will be rewarded, if you will, by independents saying, 'None of us liked that whole Biden-Trump ticket to start with — you guys had the courage to change your nominee.' "

That political read comes from a unique place: Sununu is a Republican who has, on the one hand, recently endorsed Trump, but, on the other, repeatedly criticized his party's nominee more aggressively than most Republicans.

A woman wearing a white hat with the words Make America Great Again and a red t-shirt is pictured.
Andrea Fletcher, a Republican delegate from Wheaton, Il., said she thinks Harris would get crushed in a presidential matchup against Trump. (Jenna Benchetrit/CBC)

Republicans revel in Democrats' turmoil

The Democrats' turmoil has been a frequent topic of conversation at an unusually buoyant Republican convention. With favourable polls and their rivals split and bickering, Republicans are in a jubilant mood this week.

One convention-goer said it doesn't matter who the Democrats nominate.

"I think [Harris would] get crushed," said Andrea Fletcher, a convention attendee from Wheaton, Illinois. 

"I think she is more unliked than Biden."

As for the prospect of the president bailing on his own re-election bid, Fletched added: "I'm not surprised at all at this point. It seemed like the writing was on the wall for a while."

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Alexander Panetta is a Washington-based correspondent for CBC News who has covered American politics and Canada-U.S. issues since 2013. He previously worked in Ottawa, Quebec City and internationally, reporting on politics, conflict, disaster and the Montreal Expos.